There is video footage of it on facebook https://www.facebook.com/10002435151...1296082828417/ Try Youtube if no facebook. There is a lot of debris in the lake that is forming. The Fraser is reporetd to have dropped 30 cm due to reduced flow from the Chilcotin. The flow is reduced by 150 cubic meters per second. That's the same fill rate for the new lake. When it tops the banks. There will be footage of it. Anyone gotta timeline or know if Vegas has odds on the time that is expected to happen.
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Pretty crazy event... but these things have happened throughout history. I wonder if they'll try to blame it on global warming somehow....and I wonder if govt will intervene in some way, or just let the water naturally break through??
I am thinking it would be better for the government to step in and after studying the area the slide has covered to blast an area away to let water through. If they let natural erosion take place it could be months before the river breaks through. And the damage caused by flooding would be enormous. In this case in my opinion, it would make more sense to try and release the blockage so the river can flow down to the Fraser River. There will be flooding but at least people affected can prepare for it.
Also another reason to find a way to release the slide is the Chilko Sockeye salmon run is at stake. This is probably the biggest and strongest remaining run of Sockeye salmon left on the Fraser River. If nothing is done by the Federal government, put another nail in the coffin for the future of Sockeye salmon in BC.
There is video footage of it on facebook https://www.facebook.com/10002435151...1296082828417/ Try Youtube if no facebook. There is a lot of debris in the lake that is forming. The Fraser is reporetd to have dropped 30 cm due to reduced flow from the Chilcotin. The flow is reduced by 150 cubic meters per second. That's the same fill rate for the new lake. When it tops the banks. There will be footage of it. Anyone gotta timeline or know if Vegas has odds on the time that is expected to happen.
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Rough, handwavy math:
the slide blocks up to the cliff edge with approximate elevation of 620m, so the water will back up to whatever point on the river is that elevation - which is near the Big Creek Bridge. Roughly 3 cubic km of volume to fill at the nominal 200cubic m/second that the ministry quoted would put fill time at 6months… obviously, there’s some big assumptions in there, but it illustrates that the timeline is quite long.
Last edited by Livewire322; 08-01-2024 at 12:03 PM.