LEH odds higher this year

[fireguy]

After reading through the did you get you LEH in the mail thread and noticing the odds change on my draw I was wondering how many had either huge jumps in odds or if as I suspect it is a misprint.

My my successful cow calf draw in 8-11 showed the odds as 174:1.

Last year ear odds were about 24:1 and there was 6 tags given out if my memory is correct.

now I was successful on a moose draw last year so I was fighting the lower chance for three years game but a jump from 24:1 to 174:1 seems excessive and also seems that I'm not the only one noticing this.

Curious to see what other odds greatly increased.

My mountian goat draw in 8-09 went up to 435:1 but I believe they dropped the number of tags from 2 to 1 so I expected a double odds with that one.

[wideopenthrottle]

all depends on how many apply for any given draw in the current year (like with investments there should be a caveat stating "past performance is no indication of future results")..and many will apply to a lower odds draw (based on previous year) which will drive up the odds.....as you mentioned it can also be as a result of reduced authorizations...or it could be both ( a double whammy)....

[Surrey Boy]

I'm only hunting local this year.

[fireguy]

I know how the odds work. 615:1 for a cow/calf draw in 3-12 seems excessively high though as reported in the other thread.

[fireguy]

I looked it up. 24 tags for 3-12. 615:1 odds would have 14,760 people applying for that draw.

174:1 odds for 8-11 cow/calf would have 1,044 people applying for that draw.

Between just oust these two draws 15,804 people applied, makes me think it's at typo.

[palmer]

Some of my odds were crazy, must have been a screw up....

[Treed]

Definitely a screwup - I didn't get anything! Think I'll phone and ask for a redo!

[Ajsawden]

my moose in 512a is 5.3:1 odds this year, which seems totally legit.

[HarryToolips]

I looked it up. 24 tags for 3-12. 615:1 odds would have 14,760 people applying for that draw.

174:1 odds for 8-11 cow/calf would have 1,044 people applying for that draw.

Between just oust these two draws 15,804 people applied, makes me think it's at typo.

I think your right..

[srthomas75]

Does the synopsis not say " tentative authorizations ".? Meaning that they can change the number before the draw happens. Which then will show the true ratio after everyone has entered in that years lotto.
( I find it strange how every year someone will say they entered a low odds draw when the posted odds were for the previous year. )