Re: Ask your LEH questions here...
Originally Posted by
twoSevenO
So what's the reason some odds would change?
For example, Reg 3 goats:
3-32F:
2018: 10 tags - 26.3:1
2019: 10 tags - 10.5:1
3-16D:
2018: 4 tags - 3.7:1
2019: 4 tags - 14.5:1
So some odds got better, some worse with same number of tags .... Is this just based on a lot more people applying for 3-16D and less people applying for 3-32F ?
People see extremely poor odds from the previous year (26.3:1) and less apply the year after so the odds are better at 10.5:1
In your other example it's reversed. People see relatively decent odds at 3.7:1 from the previous year and it attracts more applicants to that draw the next year resulting in a much tougher hunt to pull (14.5:1).
"The farther one gets into the wilderness, the greater is the attraction of its lonely freedom."