Re: Ask your LEH questions here...
Originally Posted by
CraigOC
If a draw is 5:1, and you have 66% reduced odds, your odds are now 7.5:1. That's not too much worse off, totally possible you hit 4 years in a row with 7.5:1 while someone with 5:1 misses four years in a row.
That's not exactly how it goes.
Under 5:1 odds you have a 20% chance of drawing.
If I recall correctly, under reduced odds only 1 in every 3 reduced odds winners are picked from the pool get an LEH tag. So of the people who are chosen in the LEH pool, only 1 of 3 of them will actually get the tag - a 33% chance of drawing.
So your odds as a reduced odds applicant in this case would be 1/5 * 1/3 (reduced odds pool) = 6.67% chance of drawing.
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